Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.629504 1.899638 2.180435 2.492543 2.828260 3.177138 3.565746
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.172793 1.540988 1.947403 2.422538 2.956579 3.532808 4.196304
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.929546 1.339836 1.813298 2.386374 3.049060 3.780775 4.639873
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.778062 1.222718 1.756771 2.422526 3.210340 4.096058 5.151477
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.650106 1.113874 1.692806 2.434264 3.329665 4.351994 5.585346
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.525518 0.992087 1.599328 2.398880 3.384015 4.525604 5.918946
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.482531 0.974666 1.633463 2.516531 3.618316 4.906724 6.490312
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.448219 0.964489 1.673545 2.639055 3.856804 5.291825 7.066000
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.423423 0.964683 1.725049 2.774452 4.110081 5.694078 7.661888
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.407767 0.976387 1.790718 2.927233 4.384509 6.121704 8.288184
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.373855 0.955005 1.807904 3.014832 4.576445 6.449618 8.796490
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.325284 0.903550 1.778746 3.038250 4.685555 6.676021 9.183321
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.250315 0.799757 1.673241 2.962952 4.676970 6.770252 9.427611
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.186676 0.703578 1.571468 2.887787 4.665740 6.860191 9.667204
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.141762 0.632167 1.499554 2.847184 4.693249 6.992407 9.952201
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.117648 0.599702 1.486191 2.887321 4.825534 7.254390 10.394698
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.092931 0.558903 1.455604 2.900193 4.919920 7.467763 10.777132
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.065740 0.501439 1.391889 2.861171 4.942337 7.588729 11.045058
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.061936 0.509868 1.442063 2.990911 5.192902 7.999223 11.670055
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.058980 0.520227 1.495549 3.125773 5.450810 8.419626 12.308088
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.057656 0.535594 1.558070 3.274509 5.728080 8.865315 12.978200
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.058280 0.557581 1.632760 3.442001 6.031479 9.344992 13.691207
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.051938 0.553869 1.660283 3.537881 6.237054 9.700055 14.250479